Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031677 0.034770 0.037913 0.041338 0.044960 0.048668 0.052747
2025-08-24 0.026221 0.030683 0.035398 0.040725 0.046551 0.052704 0.059670
2025-08-31 0.023297 0.028828 0.034872 0.041907 0.049810 0.058358 0.068248
2025-09-07 0.020815 0.027125 0.034234 0.042727 0.052491 0.063265 0.075954
2025-09-14 0.018650 0.025524 0.033491 0.043238 0.054673 0.067512 0.082861
2025-09-21 0.016659 0.023916 0.032559 0.043368 0.056289 0.071020 0.088870
2025-09-28 0.015532 0.023240 0.032638 0.044609 0.059138 0.075910 0.096448
2025-10-05 0.013710 0.021521 0.031299 0.044012 0.059700 0.078054 0.100783
2025-10-12 0.012413 0.020368 0.030570 0.044079 0.060992 0.081009 0.106034
2025-10-19 0.011483 0.019623 0.030295 0.044655 0.062863 0.084627 0.112058
2025-10-26 0.010803 0.019165 0.030345 0.045608 0.065177 0.088769 0.118713
2025-11-02 0.009230 0.017309 0.028429 0.043926 0.064106 0.088727 0.120279
2025-11-09 0.008208 0.016196 0.027479 0.043490 0.064622 0.090668 0.124319
2025-11-16 0.007279 0.015142 0.026551 0.043033 0.065078 0.092518 0.128248
2025-11-23 0.006964 0.015025 0.026932 0.044343 0.067832 0.097258 0.135766
2025-11-30 0.006556 0.014721 0.027020 0.045234 0.070034 0.101310 0.142452
2025-12-07 0.006090 0.014280 0.026876 0.045783 0.071772 0.104773 0.148417
2025-12-14 0.005562 0.013684 0.026465 0.045928 0.072951 0.107516 0.153484
2025-12-21 0.005355 0.013631 0.026866 0.047221 0.075676 0.112253 0.161079
2025-12-28 0.004727 0.012761 0.025962 0.046603 0.075786 0.113599 0.164384
2026-01-04 0.004304 0.012228 0.025551 0.046673 0.076816 0.116128 0.169186
2026-01-11 0.004023 0.011939 0.025510 0.047272 0.078563 0.119590 0.175184
2026-01-18 0.003837 0.011822 0.025736 0.048261 0.080855 0.123775 0.182124